Saturday, October 20, 2018
Trump's "Red Wave"
"A Blue Wave means Crime and Open Borders. A Red Wave means Safety and Strength!" Trump tweeted on August 21.
And following the California primary in early June, Trump tweeted this: "Great night for Republicans! Congratulations to John Cox on a really big number in California.
Texas has to re-elect a Cuban born in Canada!
That covers BOTH borders!
History suggests that the idea of a red wave is incredibly far-fetched.
Look at a few of the historical hurdles Trump has to bully past to make the "Red Wave" appear:
• Since the Civil War, the party that controls the White House has lost House seats in 35 out of 38 midterm elections.
• The three elections in which the president's party won seats in a midterm were 1934 (Great Depression), 1998 (Bill Clinton impeachment) and 2002 (aftermath of Sept. 11 attacks). Those were all massive happenings.
• Since 1946, the average seat loss for a president's party when that president's job approval rating is under 50% is 36 seats. Trump's job approval is at 36%. That's similar to George W. Bush's 38% approval in 2006 when his party lost 30 House seats.
• Since direct election of senators (in 1913), there have been 19 of 26 midterm elections in which the president's party has lost Senate seats.
Trump's red wave?
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