Wednesday, October 17, 2018
Dead Cat, No Bounce
His strongest supporters are generally uneducated older voters. But among the many peculiarities of the Trump presidency is his lack of interest in issues like Social Security, Medicare, and VA benefits.
It turns out that one of the Grand Old Party's biggest—and least discussed—challenges is not taxes, but death! “I've seen studies on how many dead republicans still vote.”
A 65-year-old voter in 2016 will be 73 by the time 2020 rolls around.
Just look at all that red on the Electoral College map! ... And that's how the GOP has set up the conditions of its own undoing. Usually, vacant lots do not vote! When you add VOTERS, the map changes!
It's overly simplistic to say that all older Americans vote Republican, they're just more oldsters that do than don’t. Poll questions demonstrate just how much it's the youngest and the oldest educated people who are progressive!
It’s the uneducated old folks that attend church who are most likely to swallow Trump’s hook. They really don’t listen to Trump, they just BELIEVE in Trump. There is a strident churchianity anti-youth cult that Trump has tapped into. And he can’t afford to let go because these folks are in poor health (he wants to end their ObamaCare), live on Social Security or Disability benefits (both of which congressional republicans want to “scale back”), and frequent VA Hospitals (which Trump wants to close). Exit polls regularly find “Trump voters get gov't benefits - and like it.”
The GOP experienced the ultimate political “dead cat bounce” with neither the cat nor the bounce. Younger generations are much less strident in their religion, and less religious, than the older generations that has supported the GOP recently.
In the long run, we're all dead, but Republicans are especially dead. ... Younger voters have distinctly more liberal views than older voters: ... Many conservatives supported Trump precisely because they were panicked about approaching death and an “invasion” of MS-13 into their neighborhoods.
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